{ "coverage": { "baseline_games": 685, "baseline_teams": 236, "capture_unique_statuses": { "STATUS_FINAL": 62, "STATUS_SCHEDULED": 63 }, "complete_fcs_schedule_verified": false, "conflicts": [], "daily_only_final_ids": [], "expanded_games": 1213, "expanded_teams": 266, "historical_conflicts": [ { "frozen": [ "2026-09-05T23:00:00Z", false, "2393", "93", 38, 14 ], "game_id": "401867866", "kind": "frozen_scoreboard_conflict", "scoreboard": [ "2026-09-05T23:45:00Z", false, "2393", "93", 38, 14 ] } ], "historical_fcs_games_added": 467, "in_progress_game_ids": [], "new_fcs_fcs_games_added": 61, "notes": [ "Source captures are bounded and may omit games, including FCS games against unclassified opponents.", "Latest captured week may be incomplete; source completion and publication times are unverified.", "Same-UTC-date games are flagged for stricter chronological exclusion." ], "observed_final_game_count": 62, "omitted": { "matched_existing_game": 1 }, "same_utc_date_game_ids": [ "401868057", 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false, "target_team_ids": null, "timing_status": "previous_utc_date_reconstruction_not_source_time_verified", "training_eligible_games": 1194, "withheld_games": [] }, "config": { "as_played_target_team_ids": null, "chronology_mode": "previous_utc_date", "full_fcs_schedules_available": false, "margin_scale": 21.0, "max_iterations": 1000, "ranking_tie_precision_decimal_places": 8, "ridge": 4.0, "supplied_schedule_coverage": "Dated national FBS results plus reconciled observed FCS/FCS results; full FCS coverage unverified.", "tolerance": 1e-09 }, "coverage": { "fbs_teams": 138, "full_fcs_schedules_available": false, "observed_fcs_team_ids": [ "cfbfastr:team:107", "cfbfastr:team:108", "cfbfastr:team:110242", "cfbfastr:team:119", "cfbfastr:team:13", "cfbfastr:team:147", "cfbfastr:team:149", "cfbfastr:team:155", "cfbfastr:team:159", "cfbfastr:team:160", "cfbfastr:team:163", "cfbfastr:team:171", "cfbfastr:team:172", "cfbfastr:team:2000", "cfbfastr:team:2010", "cfbfastr:team:2011", 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"cfbfastr:team:2428", "cfbfastr:team:2441", "cfbfastr:team:2447", "cfbfastr:team:2448", "cfbfastr:team:2450", "cfbfastr:team:2453", "cfbfastr:team:2458", "cfbfastr:team:2460", "cfbfastr:team:2464", "cfbfastr:team:2466", "cfbfastr:team:2502", "cfbfastr:team:2504", "cfbfastr:team:2506", "cfbfastr:team:2523", "cfbfastr:team:2529", "cfbfastr:team:253", "cfbfastr:team:2535", "cfbfastr:team:2545", "cfbfastr:team:2546", "cfbfastr:team:2569", "cfbfastr:team:257", "cfbfastr:team:2571", "cfbfastr:team:2582", "cfbfastr:team:2617", "cfbfastr:team:2619", "cfbfastr:team:2627", "cfbfastr:team:2630", "cfbfastr:team:2634", "cfbfastr:team:2635", "cfbfastr:team:2640", "cfbfastr:team:2643", "cfbfastr:team:2674", "cfbfastr:team:2678", "cfbfastr:team:2681", "cfbfastr:team:2692", "cfbfastr:team:2698", "cfbfastr:team:2710", "cfbfastr:team:2717", "cfbfastr:team:2729", "cfbfastr:team:2747", "cfbfastr:team:2754", "cfbfastr:team:2755", "cfbfastr:team:2771", "cfbfastr:team:2803", "cfbfastr:team:2815", 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exact completion or publication timestamps.", "This is a current retrospective fit, not a pregame forecast or a source-time-verified historical replay.", "Retrospective opponent strength uses all eligible results, including the evaluated game, and can revise earlier schedule difficulty.", "The unchanged formula uses diminishing final-score margins and ridge regularization; no polls, conference bonuses, venue or injury adjustments enter.", "FCS and other-division schedules remain observed subsets unless completeness is separately established; sample diagnostics are not calibrated uncertainty.", "Reconstructed and strict as-played eligibility are separate and are not changed by this view." ], "model_version": "independent-chronological-sos/1", "retrospective": { "config": { "eligibility_mode": "caller_verified_final_observed_by_cutoff", "fit_is_same_results_only_ridge_model": true, "full_fcs_schedules_available": false, "margin_scale": 21.0, "max_iterations": 1000, 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final-state observations establish a current knowledge bound, not exact completion or publication timestamps.", "This is a current retrospective fit, not a pregame forecast or a source-time-verified historical replay.", "Retrospective opponent strength uses all eligible results, including the evaluated game, and can revise earlier schedule difficulty.", "The unchanged formula uses diminishing final-score margins and ridge regularization; no polls, conference bonuses, venue or injury adjustments enter.", "FCS and other-division schedules remain observed subsets unless completeness is separately established; sample diagnostics are not calibrated uncertainty.", "Reconstructed and strict as-played eligibility are separate and are not changed by this view." ], "model_version": "independent-chronological-sos/1", "rankings": [ { "diagnostics_are_calibrated_uncertainty": false, "games": 9, "measured_opponent_fraction": 1.0, "observed_only_sos_diagnostic": 0.2879459215704697, 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